Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.231668 0.266710 0.304409 0.347878 0.396512 0.449139 0.510285
2026-01-11 0.174310 0.221202 0.275775 0.343543 0.424966 0.519155 0.635825
2026-01-18 0.133525 0.186097 0.252017 0.339678 0.451996 0.589788 0.770153
2026-01-25 0.103484 0.157988 0.231386 0.335446 0.476843 0.659674 0.910888
2026-02-01 0.081599 0.136066 0.214580 0.332745 0.502154 0.731778 1.061068
2026-02-08 0.065112 0.118291 0.200110 0.330339 0.526482 0.803908 1.217191
2026-02-15 0.051972 0.102742 0.185958 0.325661 0.546000 0.870108 1.369924
2026-02-22 0.043722 0.093452 0.179803 0.331844 0.581565 0.961594 1.565284
2026-03-01 0.035594 0.082467 0.168781 0.328176 0.600646 1.029228 1.729745
2026-03-08 0.029686 0.074307 0.161160 0.328813 0.626067 1.107819 1.915605
2026-03-15 0.024213 0.065654 0.151020 0.323292 0.639987 1.168472 2.076825
2026-03-22 0.021511 0.062411 0.150739 0.335616 0.685604 1.283517 2.331658
2026-03-29 0.019020 0.059137 0.150010 0.347263 0.731632 1.403501 2.603998
2026-04-05 0.016155 0.054174 0.144837 0.349390 0.760267 1.495796 2.836227
2026-04-12 0.013631 0.049379 0.139153 0.349617 0.785131 1.583020 3.065019
2026-04-19 0.011418 0.044765 0.133008 0.347930 0.805881 1.664033 3.287600
2026-04-26 0.009602 0.040747 0.127520 0.346838 0.827475 1.747698 3.519283
2026-05-03 0.008071 0.037104 0.122248 0.345428 0.848063 1.830526 3.753722
2026-05-10 0.006691 0.033451 0.116193 0.341256 0.862243 1.901821 3.970734
2026-05-17 0.005886 0.031616 0.114799 0.348136 0.900627 2.021830 4.283361
2026-05-24 0.004903 0.028659 0.109545 0.344600 0.915645 2.096778 4.515377
2026-05-31 0.004183 0.026489 0.106192 0.345446 0.940442 2.192461 4.791170
2026-06-07 0.003438 0.023831 0.100703 0.339803 0.949681 2.256992 5.010097